Quote:
Originally Posted by Minatorr
Flop isnt close at all. You have J high with 3 outs to the nuts in a 4-way pot with a sticky V ip.
I didnt read reads on V (sticky player), so yes if we have a FH/trips we gotta keep barreling, so yeah i screwed up that bc sometimes i have a bad habit of not looking at reads too carefully and just going with a line in a vacuum. But flop/turn bet are really bad, and imo it’s impossible to make a case that flop bet and turn bet AP are +EV at all. Try using Flopzilla or pokerstove and plug in some ranges, your J high isn’t “close” at all
Checking JJ+ ott even vs a loose fish cant be bad, Tx is horrible for our range and he literally has every Tx in his range. He can bluff with a wide range of hands that we will make a lot of money by x/inducing. He will bet way more hands ott than he will call with vs our bet.
You can make a case for checking overpairs w/
OTT, but not betting because V will bluff us off our hand is MUBSY at LLSNL. When he raises, it's just time to let it go.
OTT, V is sticky (plug a sticky range into stove and see how much marginal crap he has) so he can have 66,88,99, A7, K7, 87 so betting can't be that bad to fold out those marginal hands, as well as fd's...
but A
OTR weights him to boats and Tx...good luck getting those to fold even with a jam.