1/2, 9 handed
Villain is on a heater. He seems pretty bad. Saw him call down a tight player when he had 3rd pair ( happened to be good). Also saw him bluff off his stack earlier with 2nd pair (if he was bluffing, not sure).
Otth:
Hero raises to 10 from middle/late position with A
J
($285)
Villain calls ($600). Hes calling about 50% of hands here
Co calls
Button calls
Bb calls
Flop $51
J
J
Q
Hero bets $27, only villain calls
Turn $105
J
J
Q
4
Hero bets $50, villain calls
Check is my default here, but thought this villain could call with worse with a lot of his range.
River $205
J
J
Q
4
2
Hero? Awkward $200 remaining at this point. Hero bets $50. Villain raises to $135.
Need to be right 18% of the time here. Fwiw earlier i saw villain make a smallish river raise like this when he rivered the nut flush. Wasnt a paired board tho. This villain was capable of 3betting so QQ is heavily discounted here. So I lose to QJ (3) and all flushes. I shouldnt beat much and I obviously think im behind. Small river raise doesnt look like a bluff... At the same time, im still ahead of 90% of his preflop calling range if he is clicking buttons post flop here sometimes...thoughts??