Villain in this hand is one of the better players in this game, playing aggressive and leaning a little on the looser side. Hero has been card dead, heros image is seen as tight and always having it. Hero has history w villain in the past making big bluffs vs villain but did not show them. The times hero has showed down against villain he has always had the goods.
Hero starts hand with 1100 villain covers $10 straddle on the button SB calls hero calls from BB with Q
9
villain raises to 50 from MP button calls, SB calls, hero calls.
Flop $200 4
J
10
Check to V who bets 145, fold to hero who raises to 310, v calls. I chose this small sizing to give us some added FE on the turn, since we should have plenty of pot equity even if the turn bricks. At this point I think v would 3b gii with A
K
, and is probably 3b gii with 1010 and JJ on such a wet board. I have him on qq-aa, AJ w A
, KJ w k
, and KQ.
Turn $820 given this info, how do we play this turn? Given the fact that we c/r the flop I think it would be good to merge our range here meaning betting the turn whether we hit or miss.
What is our plan if the turn bricks? I think shoving is a good plan. I still have 1010,JJ, and 44 in my range.
Does it change if the board pairs? If we are repping a fh would we really go all in or just make a smaller bet?
What should our checking range look like? I think q or 9 would be good cards to check here. And possibly check if an A hits?
And what about if an off suit 8 or K hits? Do we go all in or make a smaller bet?