Quote:
Originally Posted by DK Barrel
Totally depends on the player. A smart reg isn't automatically giving you credit for turned top pair, and especially not for the flush card unless you've played it like a draw (example, c/c 2 streets & bomb river when the flush comes), and the problem with that last one is it is just not a winning play against a decent player. Either he bets big enough for chasing to be incorrect, or if it's multi-way and you've been check/cold-calling last to act you are going to be snapped off by the other player in the pot who "know you rivered the flush" but can't lay down a flopped 2p.
I think a lot of people underestimate the skill of regs. At least, I'd love to play in these games where all the regs are just predictably weak-tight.
I probably should of said nit not reg. But honestly I've been playing 1-2 for about a year and a half and my biggest leak by far (well at least the one I notice) is assuming anyone can play well. If you play 2-5 or higher or in clubs instead of a casino I cold see this being the case but not 1-2 in a casino.
Player do not shift there games, unless you pond on them. If I see a player check a scare card or fold to one...you can attact them, they are not thinking, oh he's a tag, I can call top pair here or thats a scare card so he going to raise the turn here a lot. If you see a player call down light on a scare card, he's not thinking that a great card for him to bluff me I'm calling, he's thinking this guy bluffs a lot I'm calling.
Sure Ive had players who I thought were capable of foldind and they called me down on scare cards. And I thought my god he's good, then I watched, he turned out to call everyone he thought might ever bluff down light. Now I just value bet him to death on cards that I would never bluff and I sole own him.
Players at this level do not hand read...either they always call you down or they fold to scare cards. they just are not capable of the next level of thinking.