The way we counter c-betting is to first understand some basic concepts in poker which include ranging and perceived image.
Lets dissect your hand and play bit by bit. I apologize in advance, I may sound like a dick (in part because I am a bit of a dick) but the only way I can help is with brutal honesty and I just don't have time to sugar coat my critique.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SickGypsy
....Player early position bets $10 folded around to Hero in late Position
Flat calls with AJo Heads Up
This post says a lot about your skill level and thought process which I would guess is just typical Level I rec-fish. You don't say anything about villain's tendencies, range, raising frequency, etc. Has villain been raising 2 times per orbit or 2 times per hour or is this his first raise in 3 hours? Has villain been bluffing a lot, splashing around a lot, or has the deck been smacking him in the face and every showdown he's shown a strong value hand? ANd how deep are you guys, what are the effective stacks. The amount of chips behind has a HUGE impact on how a hand should play out because it impacts the odds in question (direct and implied odds).
Then there is the matter of how villain sees you. Is villain capable of profiling you? Does villain think you are a fish, a donk, a nit, a TAG, a LAG, an ABC player, or an unknown? Have you been showing down monsters or have you been check/folding all day like a little biatch?
Back to villain. Has he been talking poker theory at the table? Is he drinking? Has he been berating everyone for their bad play and he's giving poker lessons at the table? Is he a young guy with Beats by Dre headphones and sunglasses and a Pokerstars or WSOP hoodie?
The above is what goes through a thinking player's mind before he decides on what to do preflop. Overtime, the above thought process becomes automatic.
Without the above thought process and observations, it is extremely difficult to make the correct play.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SickGypsy
....Player early position bets $10 folded around to Hero in late Position
Flat calls with AJo Heads Up
SO let's look at this flat. If you had AA would you have flatted? What about if you had KK, QQ, or JJ? So, what does your flat say about your range? If villain is at all a thinking player, your flat says that you don't have a really strong hand. Similarly, if you are a typical rec-fish player what would villain think you are calling with? Probably Axs, Kxs, broadways, and SCs and SGs like 76s+ and 86s+ and pockets 22-TT, so your range is going to be fairly weak and wide with nothing really strong in it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SickGypsy
....
Player early position bets $10 folded around to Hero in late Position
Flat calls with AJo Heads Up
Flops Comes 257 rainbow Player C-bets $15
Hero Calls
Okay, how does this flop compare to your range? This flop will miss the vast majority of your range, so when V c-bets he knows that most likely you missed. But what does your flat say about your hand? Well, typical players would just flat with a set or if they hit the 5 or the 7 and most players would fold if they whiffed completely. If you had 88 - TT you would be more likely to raised for fear of an overcard hitting on turn. So based on the c-bet and your flat, V shouldn't be too concerned because like most rec players you will turn your hand face up on the turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SickGypsy
.....
Player early position bets $10 folded around to Hero in late Position
Flat calls with AJo Heads Up
Flops Comes 257 rainbow Player C-bets $15
Hero Calls turn comes 257-7
Player bets $25
Hero Folds
And there it is. If you had a set or a 7 what would you have done? The typical rec player would just flat again with those hands. So V can safely bet the turn and know that if you have a boat or a 7 you are flatting and that if you don't you are folding. And that is what you did.
If you wanted to win this hand by floating then you need to have an understanding of your image and villain's tendencies and how villain sees you. If V thinks you are an ubber nit then you can float him to the river and shove and he will fold everything but the near nuts to you.
If you are going to call flop what is your turn plan? Your plan can't just be to flop or turn gin. When you call preflop with a hand like AJ you are going to miss the flop 70%-ish of the time. So can you see why that is a losing strategy.
If V had been raising and splashing around a lot, then there is a really good chance that your AJ is actually the best hand right now. That 7 is actually a pretty good card for you. V's raising range (if he had been splashing around a lot) is probably not going to contain a lot of 5s and 2s. When the 7 pairs it discounts the probability that he has it. So his range should be fairly wide and consist of 90% air balls meaning that our AJ should be ahead against him a good amount of the time.
Since we are getting 3:1 on a call, V only needs to be bluffing 25% of the time in order for our call to be profitable. And if he is raising a lot and splashing around a lot then calling him down with AJ is a +EV play.
However, if V hasn't been raising a lot and/or we know based on observation that he is a fairly ABC player that doesn't get out of line, then we can surmise that his range consists of mostly value hands 88-AA, or hands that are likely ahead of ours like AK/AQ. So against this type of villain we should have folded preflop.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SickGypsy
...
at some point with over card on such a dry board Does the Hero Need to Grow Some Balls and Re-Raise on the turn for information ?
Its not about "growing some balls". that is just randomly clicking buttons. No. You need to make decisions based on the available information and observations you should have picked up on with your time at the table.
this is something most Rec players are clueless about. They do not properly observe, assimilate and process the wealth of information available to them. What does villain look like, how is he dressed, does he appear comfortable, does he talk in poker lingo, how does he handle his chips and his cards, how does he handle aggression, how does he handle shows of weakness, does he bluff when he misses when in position, does he go for thin value bets, does he know what he is doing, did he make a horrific play and get lucky or is he just good and soul reading his villains, etc etc.
All the info you need to know to beat your villains is right there in front of you once you learn how to see it, read it, and assimilate it. You then take that info and use it to make the correct +EV decision.
You can't just make decisions in a vacuum and say, "Ok, i'm going to win this pot" and call preflop with no other strategy then to hope you get lucky and hit your hand. That is losing poker over the longrun.
Anyways, GL and hope you stick around at 2+2. Everything you need to know to beat the game can be found in this website. Read through all the stickies/links at the top of this forum