A high flush on a paired board river
08-02-2015
, 05:49 AM
2-5. Villain has played 20 hands or so, but he's played around 60% of his hands and in the past 3 hands before this one, I ve observed the following. He's sitting at seat 9.
First hand, I raised 20 UTG in a full table, had 7 callers, on the flop pot was 160, the board was wet, MP bet 65 he called with AT (without having hit him), he took this to the river after the A hit him on the turn.
Second hand he 3 bet someone, he showed QQ.
Third hand, seat 6 straddled, got 5 callers, on the turn and on a board of JT75 with heart draw, seat 6 bet 80 or so, seat 7 went all in, seat 9 (villan called). Seat 6 ended up winning with T9o vs villain's T8o.
So, after all of this, I am getting dealt A
K
on the B. I ve got around 575 behind me which counts also as effective stacks.
Preflop (7), Seat 8 calls, Seat 9 calls, Seat 10 calls, Seat 1 raises to 15, Seat 4 (hero) reraises to 40, seat 5 calls, Seat 9 calls, Seat 10 calls.
Flop (180) 5 5
2. Checked around.
Turn (180) 4. Checked to Hero, I bet 95, seat 5 folds, seat 9 calls, seat 1 folds.
River (370) 8. Seat 9 bets 135.
So here's the issue. At this point, I can count 17 hands that beat me: 55, 22, 44, 88, 45, 67. All the same, I think there's a ton of K high flushes and other type of flushes on villain's range, certainly more than 17, though how many call is a question, although judging by the 8-To hand that came before, I would say a good deal.
A hero call is mandatory. Is it worth making a thin value bet for another 200 however? Can we deduce anything from villain's smallish bet on the river?
First hand, I raised 20 UTG in a full table, had 7 callers, on the flop pot was 160, the board was wet, MP bet 65 he called with AT (without having hit him), he took this to the river after the A hit him on the turn.
Second hand he 3 bet someone, he showed QQ.
Third hand, seat 6 straddled, got 5 callers, on the turn and on a board of JT75 with heart draw, seat 6 bet 80 or so, seat 7 went all in, seat 9 (villan called). Seat 6 ended up winning with T9o vs villain's T8o.
So, after all of this, I am getting dealt A
K on the B. I ve got around 575 behind me which counts also as effective stacks.Preflop (7), Seat 8 calls, Seat 9 calls, Seat 10 calls, Seat 1 raises to 15, Seat 4 (hero) reraises to 40, seat 5 calls, Seat 9 calls, Seat 10 calls.
Flop (180) 5
5 2. Checked around.Turn (180) 4
. Checked to Hero, I bet 95, seat 5 folds, seat 9 calls, seat 1 folds.River (370) 8
. Seat 9 bets 135. So here's the issue. At this point, I can count 17 hands that beat me: 55, 22, 44, 88, 45, 6
7. All the same, I think there's a ton of K high flushes and other type of flushes on villain's range, certainly more than 17, though how many call is a question, although judging by the 8-To hand that came before, I would say a good deal.A hero call is mandatory. Is it worth making a thin value bet for another 200 however? Can we deduce anything from villain's smallish bet on the river?
