Quote:
Originally Posted by NutJob72
Tough hand. A set is going to get there 1/3 of the time. Naked A◇ gets there a 1/3 all his flushes are better. I think a fold is in order. Easy to analyze as a post though I think I bomb it about half the time at the table.
almost this.
but folding is still too weak.
hate jamming this flop, but if we wait for a safe turn card, we have to dodge 16 turn cards to feel OK about getting this in on the turn. so 1/3 of the time we are most likely going to want to fold the turn anyway also.
the most important part of this hand is if we think that V will ever do this with just the naked A
, or is he always making this bet with a value hand?
If we think that he is always doing this with a value hand, we have to dump it.
If we think that he would do this with just the naked A
, we should jam it on the flop simply because it is much less likely that there are two flopped flushes.