Quote:
Originally Posted by gjpure
I just think if I am playing for the most steady income possible I would rather just avoid this.
I don't know if I will explain this so well, and of course, you may disagree (Javi probably does). Avoiding situations like this does NOT lower your variance. We all bleed chips on every hand we don't win, not to mention the inevitable coolers. If you have never experienced an extended downswing, you may not be able to understand this, but it is in taking the 55-45 and 60-40 edges that we maintain a positive win rate throughout negative variance streaks.
If we are simply waiting for the situations where we are 80% or better, we are not winning enough to offset negative variance, which can include unfavorable flops, Vs not having strong enough hands to pay off when we hit, coolers, cold decks, etc. I once folded preflop for 8 straights hours in a 1/2 game, my best hand during this time was K4o. I had no As, no PPs, no connectors, suited or otherwise. I had no good steal situations materialize during this time (wrong Vs at the wrong times). I bled $72 in just blinds alone. This
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
$500 effective preflop, EV is $95. Small favorite, you said?
can offset that entire stretch of negative variance.
I congratulate you if you have not yet experienced the kind of negative variance that can destroy a "steady income". I suggest you read some of the poker journey blogs, especially the one by Rayz Rayl, and I.G. and ask yourself what would have happened to their winrates during their downswings if they did not push the small edges all the time.
Like I said, I am probably not explaining this well, but For What It's Worth, there it is.