Quote:
Originally Posted by beefcurry
First time posting, I apologize if I do not have the correct format. Thank you for your help!
So 2 questions:
1). If I only place him on those 3 hands, what am I supposed to do? I am unfamiliar with the hand combination math.
2). If I also think that there is some high percentage that he may reshove with not just AA and QQ but also AQ, does that make it a min-raise/call?
Thanks again for any help and thoughts.
Here is a template to use for your HHs:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/17...mplate-770217/
As to your questions:
1) I'm never folding. So I can eliminate that option. As to whether a call is better than a min-raise, you have to have him ranged as tight as possible and look at the combos of hands that you beat (that will call the min-raise) vs. hands that beat you . For simplicity, I will use AA, QQ, AQ
evenly weighted as his range (even though you said 34 can be there too) There are 6 combos of hands that beat you and 9 combos of hands that you beat. If he calls with AQ 100% of the time (thus evenly weighted), then obviously min-raising makes sense as 9/15 (or 60%) of his calling range is AQ. But if he only calls with AQ 50% of the time
and calls or raises with AA/QQ 100% of the time, raising becomes -EV. I think the break even point is 66% calling with AQ.
So, as you can see you need villain to comply with your plan 70% of the time for it to be profitable to raise. Therefore, I don''t like raising here. Also, if there is a small chance villain is bluffing, then raising will fold out the bluffs too
2)Villain is never (I think) shoving with worse over your min-raise. So, minraise/call is total spew.
As for calling, you have to put 300 to win 855, so close to 3:1. You need to be right 26% of the time for it to be EV neutral and any percentage higher is +EV