Quote:
Originally Posted by ryno19
I got raised in a similar spot about an hour ago when The flop was AAK, I had AJ and V had KQ, so I guess I'm a little biased in my thinking in this hand.
I still think though If I'm putting almost 1/3 of my stack in on the flop, that I am pretty much committed. I think the time to decide is before you put in the extra $51. Am I wrong here? Why would I want to put in $51 if my plan is to check/fold the turn? Is v ever checking turn here? Our call looks weak, our turn check looks weak, why would v check?
Calling flop raise with the intention to check reevaluate turn would essentially mean we are calling $51 to win ~$131 for a 3 outer (any J) getting roughly 2.6 -1...this seems like a bad plan to me...but I've been wrong before
I don't think villain bets the turn 100% of the time. Sure, he sometimes raises the flop lighter than he should (your KQ hand is a good example), but in many of those cases, he will check behind on the turn.
When villain does bet the turn, we can very often learn (even readless) from poor bet sizing at 1/2; a larger bet is going to be stronger than a smaller bet, and I'd probably station down facing fairly small bet sizing.
And yes, we can spike a J (or the case A), but of course that's not our main goal.
Also, we opened from UTG. I'm not giving villain credit for hand reading, but between you and I, our range is like 22+, suited broadway, ATs+, AJo+. We're at the bottom of our value range, and your hand is pretty face up when we bet/call the flop. Again, that's between you and I.
However, between hero and villain, well villains love to put hero on AK, especially opening from EP. Raising this flop and then firing on the turn represents a ton of strength from this villain even if he can't really hand read. He could spaz with A2-A6, A8-A9, but without a better read, I'm assuming he's loose/passive and strong.