Quote:
Originally Posted by ImAllInNow
You're mistaking raw equity for realizable equity. We have the ability to get better hands to fold on the flop and can pick up a lot of good cards on the turn that allow us to get more hands to fold.
And our hand is really far from air here. 18% equity 4 ways is great given how much we gain from fold equity.
Yah our realizable equity is even lower. I'd expect a flop c-bet to get through here less than 10% of the time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by HomelessPizza
@BUZZ - I think you are missing the point of barreling. When we are called OTR, we are almost certainly behind, but it's our potential fold equity from potential overcards and V's weak calling range that make this profitable. Eg is V really calling down with hands like JT facing a triple barrel? Doubtful.
Wow no kidding when we're called on the river with A-hi we're probably beat.
This entire hand is RIO city. There's three separate OESD's out there, a flush draw and a variety of over + gutter hands out there that are going to stick around. You are way overestimating FE and your ability to barrel people off on further streets neglecting the fact that the cards you want to barrel are improving pretty much every continuing range aside from the under pairs that call flop like 88/77.
And to top it off we have 100 BB's so good luck getting people to fold.