Quote:
Originally Posted by Homey D. Clown
Lot of optimists itt... I'm with Petrucci. Surprised actually to see he's the lone wolf in this entire thread I just read.
I literally couldn't name anyone in my game who would do this with anything less than a straight flush this deep. The question why he would shove with a straight flush and not call is also simple to answer, since I could hardly name anyone who would show up with a worse hand than an ace high flush in hero's spot on the turn (or at least not a hand with which they're not willing to go all the way at this moment). If I were villain, I would therefore conclude that hero always feels committed here. Losing an extra 1700 if the board pairs would be disastrous, so a shove would seem the best way to win it all.
Maybe my games play a lot nittier than yours (undoubtedly they do) and even then I'm not even saying I would find a fold in game, but acting like this is some no-brainer "quit poker if you wanna fold this"-kind of decision is pretty remarkable.
Also, even though these sorts of spots/threads always have the most responses, they aren't even that interesting, because of their once-in-a-lifetimeness. Next hand!
Actually, I don't agree with the bolded. Combinatorically, Hero has more sets in his range than nut flushes on the turn (9 for all three cards on the flop vs. 7 if you include all remaining nut flushes [which in and of itself may not be right, so there might be even less NF's]: AK, A7 through A2), so it is a mistake to shove this turn IMO with Q
8
. We don't want Hero to fold for any reason as our hand is unbeatable, and shoving actually might get more of his range to fold (the sets) than call which is the real disaster IMO. The shove only gives Hero 2.56-1 to call ($4230/$1650), and he is a 3.6-1 dog to fill OTR. So against his total range, a shove can't be the best play OTT. If I hold Q8hh there, I either min-raise or flat IP.