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2/5 bluff river?? 2/5 bluff river??

01-14-2018 , 03:46 PM
2-5 effective 330
Hero CO K7cc raise to 15. SB calls.
Heads up
(35) Flop Q94xxc
Check, 15, call.
(65) Turn Tc
Check, 35, 80, call
(225) Riv 8x
Villain bets 35. Hero?

We could jam the turn, but villain looks pretty strong (2 pair+, sets, straight?) calling seems better getting good odds to mine our equity.

On the riv, villain makes a blocking bet, it’s hard to tell how to interpret... I don’t think villain has many J in range, QJ would probably just call on the turn.. we can have lots of straight tho, so bluffing is a credible.

Any thoughts?


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2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-14-2018 , 04:19 PM
Preflop: don't open this hand
Flop: make it 20 into 35 instead of 15.
Turn: bet 40 into 65 instead of 35. Calling the small C/R is fine.

River: We have 220 left in our stack. I'm not going to offer a view without having some info on how hero perceives villain and vice versa. How long have we been at the table? Are we both unknown to each other?
2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-15-2018 , 05:05 AM
Villain is unknown as am I, the table has been very tight. I’ve been tight as well but becoming more LAG to exploit the table


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2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-15-2018 , 05:54 AM
Preflop: Standard open. I like it.
Flop: Is this rainbow or two-tone? If it's two-tone then I actually prefer checking this hand back, but if it's rainbow then I like the Cbet and the sizing.
Turn: You need to bet much bigger here. I'd bet at least 50 into 65 here. I'd even consider a slight overbet. As played, I'm definitely flatting the x/r. I don't think it's profitable to 3bet jam this turn after our opponent has repped a strong hand.
River: did the flush just get here on the river? I need to know whether xxccx means the flush draw got there or not.
2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-15-2018 , 06:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogyong
Preflop: don't open this hand
Damn Nogyong! I like a lot of what you post, but damn! That's tight brother! I o/r from the CO [with tightsoft players behind me] with K6s, Q7s, J8s.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogyong
Flop: make it 20 into 35 instead of 15.
Where I play, they've raked $5 [$3 + $2BBJ] & if you deduct $1 tip if you win, you're betting $15 into a net pot of $29.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogyong
Turn: bet 40 into 65 instead of 35. Calling the small C/R is fine.
There's actually only $58 in the pot, which is why I wish OPs would be on point with their rake @ their casino. However, I'm betting $40 also, but I don't think it changes things. IMO, OP needs to hit otr.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogyong
River: We have 220 left in our stack. I'm not going to offer a view without having some info on how hero perceives villain and vice versa. How long have we been at the table? Are we both unknown to each other?
Agreed. Need some serious fold equity here as V is getting >2:1 on an all-in. OP is putting $220 into a pot of [260 - 7] $253 & V's $220 would only be ~32% of the pot.
2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-15-2018 , 09:22 AM
Preflop is meh. At most LLSNL tables, the raise gets called in too many places to be worthwhile. If the table is tight and people are folding to raises without a big hand, then it is fine.

The problem with the rest of the hand is that you are playing your cards face up. I hope your standard cbet is not a 1/3 PSB. It says to me, "I hope you missed with your 65s call and will just fold." Increasing the relative size of the bet says you picked up some equity on the turn, most likely the FD.

Now if the player is bad, he won't pick up on this. However, he X/R the turn. He's sure he can beat what you have at that point. The draw you have is the one most obvious to even the newest noob in the game. He's giving you express odds to call. I'd call, but I'm not happy and hoping he is actually bad.

River is a fold. This is a suck bet most of the time and he'll be thrilled for the extra money you're giving him. A shove is just gambling. Never call.
2/5 bluff river?? Quote
01-15-2018 , 02:06 PM
Opening here would be fine, if we weren't 60 bb effective. At this stack depth, we should be opening a tighter range and trying to play hands for top pair value.
2/5 bluff river?? Quote

      
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