Quote:
Originally Posted by t_roy
This limped pot nonsense needs to be addressed. Who cares it is a limped pot? If we have the equity to call vs our opponents' ranges then you call. Way to many people approach limped pots like the nittiest of nits. How does this hand change with a raise pre and equivalently larger stacks? Imo, this is even more of a call than in a raised pot because V2 has more two pair and more small flushes and V1 has way more bare Ad. Saying that he should fold because it is a limped pot is sillier than saying he should fold because his chips are in a rack.
You have the best hand here 90% of the time. Easy peazy imo. V2 has all kinds of stuff in his range. He could be as light as A8 in my experience. People play their made hands really hard on a monotone flop. They almost never put someone on a flopped flush, but they know they will be screwed by a four flush.
It's thinking like this that makes setmining so profitable at these stakes. There is a huge difference going broke here in a limped pot versus a raised pot because the risk/reward is drastically different, plus the implied odds are drastically different.
In a limped pot, we just gave V2 implied odds of 83:1 to stack us. 83:1, OMG! Those are insane implied odds; we simply can't go stacking off all the time here with the worse hand giving those odds. Will we fold the best hand some of the time? Sure, but for most part this will be a smallish mistake. The SPR on the flop is a fairly large 13, indicating that the risk (our stack) versus the reward (the piddly amount in the pot on the flop) indicates that we shouldn't automatically be in stack off mode. Obviously this is opponent / action dependent, which is why we're quite comfortable stacking off versus aggrotard V1, but we certainly shouldn't feel nearly as comfortable stacking off versus V2 given this action and his description (none of which indicates he is willing to get in 83bb stacks lightly in a limped pot with a draw or weakish hand).
If we went to a raised pot, things change drastically. Let's say we raise to $20 and both V1 and V2 call (a very reasonable result). We now gave V2 implied odds of a mere 12.5:1 to stack us, not even remotely close to the insane odds we gave him in a limped pot. And the SPR is now a very small ~4, which means the risk (our stack, which is only 4 times the size of the pot) is very much worth the reward (a big pot). If V2 coolered us here, then a very much more reasonable stack off postflop.
On top of all that, a limped pot usually means very multiway, which means the likelihood of someone actually having a hand better than us increases, plus the chances of someone bluffing decreases (as opposed to a raised pot which has thinned the field).
I'll agree that this decision is not an easy one. We do have the 4th nuts after all, and that's a pretty strong hand on this board. But we saw V2 overcall a huge bet on the flop, and now facing a shove (albeit from an aggrotard) he's decided his hand is good enough to ship, with us (the flop overbetter) still to react behind him. I don't think it's a fistpump either way, but I do lean towards a fold, especially having invested very little in this pot.
GimoG
Last edited by gobbledygeek; 03-19-2015 at 01:02 PM.