Quote:
Originally Posted by t_roy
Yes, I understand SPR. That's why I said "equivalently larger stacks." Ie. if we raise to 3bb and are 3x as deep.
My point is that you must construct ranges for the Villains and play accordingly regardless of whether the pot is limped or not. I think we can agree on that.
If you disagree with my opinion that he has a lot of worse hands in his range then that's fine. Maybe it's a difference in where we play. In my games, people play made hands very very hard on monotone flops. If you think he only has Q high flushes or better then go ahead and fold. Personnally, I think that range is very innaccurate for a fairly random rec player.
Edit: I don't think 1/2 players see a $25 bet into a $21 pot as a "huge" bet. They don't even know how much is in the pot. In terms of the absolute money value, $20 and $25 are pretty much the same for most players imo. I don't think the ranges really change.
Also, the amount of money invested is totally irrelevant and is another common logical flaw imo. Is your call +ev right now? That is the only thing that matters.
I think it's fair to say the "don't go broke in a limped pot rule" is talking about huge SPR pots. I totally agree that if we happen to go the same amount of ways here creating the exact same SPR in a raised pot that the situation is identical (but that example would also have to assume everyone is playing 600+ bbs deep).
I also absolutely agree that players will see no difference in a $15 vs $25 bet here (and will call versus fold the exact same percentage of time). The only reason I bet less is because I'm not willing to stack off against certain stacks, so I'm cool with keeping the pot smaller until I find out who is interested in the hand.
In the end, the decision here will come down to what we think of V2. Most villains at this level are (a) passive and (b) MUBSy, and yet he just shipped the turn. How many times have we heard players say "I can't bet my set/straight, there was a flush out there?". To me, his most likely range of hands is Axdd/Kxdd/Qxdd versus 97dd/75dd/54dd/43dd (and even some of those latter ones fall into the "I can't bet my baby flush, you could have a bigger one!"). Sets *typically* just call and try to hit their fullhouse on this board (again, see passive / MUBSy). 75o (straight) is a possibility. And if he's doing this with the naked A/K flush draw well, ok, he's just not. So I think overall, we're crushed by his range. But I'm MUBSy like that.
GimoG