Quote:
Originally Posted by slimshady1999
You are 23% to win on turn against a straight so you need a little over 3:1. You can expect to stack villain if you hit. Also tiny chance an ace peeps on river and you chop. Check call turn
slimshady has the right of it here.
If we get the odds to call on turn, then we call turn. So we check turn hoping V either checks back or makes the mistake of pricing us in with direct + implied odds.
If V doesn't have an ace, he is almost never bluffing turn since Ace is in our range. If V does have an ace, he is never folding and can/will often make the mistake of pricing us in on turn. ANd in that case again, if we have the correct odds to call for our draw then we call for our draw. It just so happens that in this case our draw is a fullhouse. but the principles of poker still apply. If we are on a draw and have the correct odds to draw then we draw. Why does that change simply because we have a set??? Winning principles are winning principles regardless of what we have...
And if we hit on river we can monkey shove and he is never folding his Ace...
so yeah, basically everything slimshady said
and yeah, don't get cute with your preflop 3-bets. Min-raising QQ is semi-******ed. Just 3x his raise... The only reason to min-raise is if you and him are in a leveling war and you are fairly sure you can induce him to shove over the top with a range of weaker hands by min-raising... Otherwise, min-raising just for the sake of min-raising is bad. If you min-raise, you need definite quantifiable reasons for min-raising vs "this" particular villain...