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Flop and river decisions with 99 Flop and river decisions with 99

06-25-2019 , 08:59 PM
2/5. Most players are $2000-3000 deep, I have $600.

V1 Solid pro. Online background and does work with solvers. With a lot of capable pros in the game and v3 in the straddle I don’t expect him to be getting out of line from EP preflop.
V2 loose passive rec. Plays his entire preflop range as a flat.
v3 very winning pro, used to playing in bigger games. Plays way wider pre IP than what is standard. Will squeeze hands like Q/rag suited from his straddle. Not sure if it’s a leak or skill+always being 200 bb+ deep and having skill edge makes it ok.

Hero: perceived as a somewhat nitty pro.

V3 straddles BU, V1 opens +2 $30 +2, V2 flats. H flats CO 9d9s. BU flats.

Flop: Td5d3s Pot: $120

Xx H$65, BU calls and the rest fold.

Seems kind of borderline between bet and check. If I had JJ on a Q53 board I would 100% check but this is a bit closer.

Pot: $250.

Turn: 4s.

Xx.

Kind of a better card for his range, I would probably check a lot of Tx here.

River As.

H? Whats the plan? I think we should either check call or if we can’t check call then bet even though it’s kind of merged in that we have SDV and it’s not impossible that we get called by worse. We have more Ax than V since he’s more likely to squeeze those hands pre and I’m playing a tighter range in general. We can rep AdXd or some aces up combos and try to fold out some of his Tx. There is also some EV to betting so we don’t get bluffed if we are going to check fold.

Last edited by But_it_was_soooote; 06-25-2019 at 09:07 PM.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-25-2019 , 09:45 PM
Aren’t you better off on the shorter stack 3b here preflop? With the straddle on you’re under 100bb eff and the water can get deep quickly. Also, from description of BTN V, I’d rather fold him out preflop or at least not cap myself oop to him.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-26-2019 , 11:58 AM
Sounds like a lousy table overall.

I don't like the flop bet at all. As yourself why we bet....two reasons really. To get worse to call or to get better to fold. I don't think we are accomplishing either here. Sure, you could say we bet for equity protection vs overcards coming or make draws pay. But I think a check is much better in this spot. In fact, if I were V3 and on my A-game, I would have raised your flop bet with my entire range.

The turn changed nothing so are we check/folding here? I think I like b/f better as it tells a more consistent story (I assume you would bet Tx here, so I view 99 as the same until someone tells me otherwise). Additionally, if we are ahead, we get value from draws that won't call on the river.

After we check the turn, the river is a c/f. You can't rep anything at all that will be called by worse.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-26-2019 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by shorn7
In fact, if I were V3 and on my A-game, I would have raised your flop bet with my entire range.
Say what?
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-27-2019 , 11:17 AM
I would have continued on the blank turn, and I would not have checked a T there, either (or a set, or AdXd).

I can go either way on the river, but I probably bet/fold $100 or $120, but a check/call vs. this guy is interesting, too. If he's any good, though, he'll bet more than you want to call.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-27-2019 , 11:25 AM
On this stack w/ BTN straddle (making this seem like a 60 bb hand), I'm making it 125-135 here and calling off. You need to be leveraging this shorter stack edge by realizing your equity better than your deeper stacked opposition who have to worry about one another, and you always realize all of it if you end up AIPF.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote
06-27-2019 , 11:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Homey D. Clown
Say what?
Attacking a field bettor after the PFR checks is printing $ in a lot of cases. They more likely than not are stabbing and not very strong. Just puts a ton of pressure on ranges like H has and implies a lot of strength.
Flop and river decisions with 99 Quote

      
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