Quote:
Originally Posted by mdelore
I like a flat because we probably only have a super nutted raising range. I assume we are never raising here as a bluff/semibluff. Since it's impractical to balance a raise range in a bomb pot when SB leads into the field I think we are probably best off calling our entire range. We want to call this lead with lots of hands and need to protect our other hands with the nuts.
You are right, we probably never bluff raise here. However, even V knows that we are 100% raising for value, there’s not much they can do with that info to exploit us. Assuming we raise to 90, which will give him 1:4.3 odds to call: if he folds any TP+draw or two pairs hand, he would have folded 15%+ EV in most cases; if he calls and T is a safe card, he will probably pay again and have a very difficult decision to make on any river when we shove a smaller than pot size bet; if he calls and T is a bad card, he cannot get too much more value from us, because 1) most bad cards that made his hand beat us will also not make his hands nuts and 2) it will make the board very obviously dangerous and H has position. H should be happy with any of these outcomes anyway.