A little bit about myself - I used to play online pre-Black Friday, and have a decent amount of live experience since then. Just recently moved back to the Philly area in the last two months and started playing $2/5 once or twice a week. Used to play $1/2 and recently decided to make the leap to $2/5. Have a full time job so I don't rely on poker for income, mostly just fun / trying to make some money on the side.
Have been thinking about getting more involved in these forums and just had a hand come up tonight that I thought may be worth posting about. Interested to hear what you guys think...
I have been at this table for about five hours now. General play of the table started pretty tight early on but has loosened up significantly in the past two hours with a lot of big pots and all ins.
Hero (~$800 stack) - young kid, mid 20s. Been playing TAG all night, mostly folding but raising when I do play hands. Have 3bet a few times and made some raises in late position, but haven't done anything to make them think I would get out of line. Only showed down hands a few times and when I have they saw AQs, AK, KK.
Villain (has Hero covered, maybe around $1000) - 40s or so white guy. Has been at the table the entire time I have. Sometimes seems to know what he's doing but he also plays pretty loose passive. Have seen him limp/call pre with hands like 56 off. Haven't played many hands against each other but there was one pot maybe three hours before this hand where he double barreled the turn and river in a multiway pot and then showed me a bluff when I folded to his river bet.
Preflop - 3 limps to the hero on the button, including villain in the cutoff. Hero makes it $35 with AJhh. One of the EP limpers calls, other one folds, Villain in cutoff calls.
Flop (pot = $117) - J 9 2 with two spades
Check, check, Hero bets $75
EP limper folds, villain calls
Welcome to the forum. Interesting hand. I doubt that he's remembering the hand he bluffed you off before and thus think you'd call light. This hand is likely in a vacuum to him three hours later.
I c-bet bigger on a board this wet and multi-way. I make it $95.
AP, turn bet is good.
I can't see much KT in his range, and with the board that wet I think we would have heard from sets before now. His value range is prob QJ, QT, KsQs, AsQs. He also has a lot of busted spade draws in his range.
Knowing the sizing on his previous river bluff might help us decide here. If it was 3/4pot or greater, I might fold here, but if it was also a pretty standard value sizing, I call expecting to lose a lot but be good often enough.