HH1
1/2 deepstack
effective stacks 1400
Villain is mid 30s pro/good player whom is in town in a week for a stars event, no history, and has been playing 2/5 and 5/10 games throughout the week.
There is a straddle, V in CO opens to 15 (standard open size for a £5 straddle, or 2/5 game, at this casino). I get Q
Q
in SB, I 3bet to 55. V calls. BB&Straddle folds
pot £117
Flop J
8
5
, i Cbet £75, V thinks for a bit and calls
pot £267
Turn 10
, brings a flush, I check thinking it is hard to get value now from a worse hand, goes for pot control. V bets £175, I call.
Pot £617
River 2
, I check, V bets £375. Hero: ??
I had I turned my hand a bit face up when I check-called a 3rd spade on the turn. I guess I have a lot of big PPs, and the odd AK/AQ with a spade, and therefore it did go through my mind that V can be floating flop, semi bluffing turn, and then made a value-looking bet on the river knowing I have to fold whatever I check called the turn with. Hence I'm considering a river call even though the bet looks valuey. Thoughts?
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HH2
HH2 and HH3 are against the same Villain, a LAG 20yo baseball cap wearing Chinese guy whom calls down light and will almost always peel the flop when he gets a piece of it. Makes a lot of questionable plays but then it makes his range very hard to narrow down as he always shows down with any 2 cards (i.e. opening A7O UTG, limping K6O on button). However, we have enough history and I think V is always tighter/less creative going into pots with me, i.e. checks his no SDV hand on river a lot against me, whereas he would almost always try to pull something vs someone else.
1/2 live effective stacks £450
I get K
K
UTG, opens to £12, cutoff calls, V on button calls.
Pot £39
Flop: J
9
7
I CBet £27, cutoff folds, V calls.
Pot £93
Turn K
Hero: ??
The turn completes all his draws, and if he called with hands like J10, 78 or 910 on the flop, it is unlikely on the turn that he will continue to a bet, or try to bluff raise me. So if I bet my top set, it's into his continuing range that I am behind of which also gets raised a lot of the times, and I am folding out all other hands I am crushing. Is my analysis correct? What would you have done on the turn vs this specific villain? check? or bet, and if so, sizing?
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HH3
1/2 live effective stacks 400
V in UTG+2 opens to £8 preflop, one caller, I call on button with K
J
(normally I wouldnt call with this hand against a UTG+2 open even in a live 200BB game, but V opens to £8 frequently in all positions and has never showdown a premium hand or even continue on boards that should hit an EP opening range, and funnily enough everytime I see him with a premium holding is when he limps in early position PF, so here I am putting him on a lot of suited/non suited connectors or small PP). Maybe a case for a 3bet? anyways,
Pot £27
Flop: 6
,9
,J
, checks to me, I bet £20, V calls and other player folds
Pot £67
Turn 3
V checks, I bet £40, V calls.
Pot £147 going into river
River 9
, V leads out £115, Hero: ??
I think he solely has the 9 here. I think he cbets all his flush draws and straight draws on the flop, and never has a set/overpair or AJ, and definitely is the sort of player that called me with a 9 on flop and turn thinking I might have a draw. But then if he called the flop and turn thinking I have a draw, wouldn't it make more sense for him to check river and let me continue, or even let me go for thin value with the J, whereas betting £115 just folds out my bluffs, which I do think I have a lot in my range as he sees me as an aggresive player postflop.
Also am I right to say that since V shouldn't be bluffing in this spot because I am supposed to always call a river donk bet with KJ on a river which bricked all draws, and this means it is less likely that V is bluffing? I am also not sure if he is capable of turning a hand like pocket 77s into a bluff on the river. But then I don't think he thinks this deep (which the reg on my left whom has also played a lot with V totally agrees, that V does not think beyond level 2, according to him, V was either - I hit my trips, I bet, or I missed, I bluff). Thoughts? Mathematically is this spot always a call vs an unknown villian?
Last edited by Garick; 01-31-2017 at 09:06 AM.
Reason: removed results