Quote:
Originally Posted by ChainedOJ
1/2, 8 handed, 100bb effective
Just sat down about 10 minutes ago, so no reads on anyone
Hero in the SB with JJ
UTG limps, 2 other players limp
I raise to 17
UTG calls, as does button
Flop (53): 689 (2 spades) I do not remember if I had a spade, but I don't believe so
Hero bets 25
UTG raises to 100
Limper folds
Hero??
1) UTG's PF line is odd all the way around.
2) On this type of flop, it does connect with secondary limpers' ranges more than your (perceived) range. Not sure a 9 high flop can connect with UTG (open-limping) range?
3) In this exact type of spot, I prefer to check and hope to actually c/r a late position as it would help to fold other limpers, even if they were on the edge of calling as their calls can then get further re-raised making any drawing hand a bad proposition. I know I am giving unlimited odds to over cards with a free card if everyone checks, but if I check myself into a spot where I have to fold, I offer my $17 PF raise to the poker gods in hopes finding a better spot to win that money back.
4) If it goes bet and then a raise before getting back to you after you've checked, you're almost certainly done with the hand, especially with it being multi-way.
5) Not saying UTG with KK is going to fold, but I think his re-raising becomes a little less likely and he leans more towards probably just flatting depending on the size of the bet and the c/r. If UTG 3-B shoves flop, I don't know what LP does but either way, I am done with hand.
6) If UTG and LP both call c/r. I am definitely checking turn, even if it's a safe card. Even with a safe river (I am talking like any combos of 2,3, and 4's that don't make flush) I am probably still reduced to c/c depending on how action goes - overcall position is the toughest. Specifically, a running pair of 2's, 3's, or 4's can lean me more towards calling as the counterfeiting makes my hand better - still losing to flopped sets which are now boats (discounting higher over pairs from the action description - but do know that UTG was actually holding a very unorthodox KK).
7) Even turning or rivering a set of J's (that doesn't complete the flush) without boating leaves me to c/c but more confident to do so, even if I am in the over call position. A set would be strong enough to c/c a lot of value sized bets, but not sure it's strong enough to call river raise or raise-AI and don't want to be blown off hand with better than average showdown value.
8) As played, I think I would've folded because even if I am ahead, with two cards to come, I don't know that I will finish in first place and considering chip stack depth I think it might be about a coin-flip at best when I am ahead on this type of flop.
Last edited by sam7595; 03-28-2021 at 06:54 AM.