Quote:
Originally Posted by Vecissitude
It's close but I am leaning fold. You are basically hoping he is doing this with AQ, AK of spades and overpairs like TT or JJ. My gut says is he knows you are tight, he knows you have a good hand and he wants to stack you with a set or two pair. It should be impossible for you to have a set here so your hand is faceup here as either overpair or AK.
If you think he continues to barell off with his bluffs I would say let him have it, if you think he is often not capable of barelling off his bluffs you could call one street.
The main issue is you opening EP and having two people in late position call you. If this happens often you need to put a stop to that and start openng bigger until you get more heads up pots.
he made it 6x after a limp. Please don´t act like that´s a problem.
I know some people will argue for a limp/raise or an absurd open to make the hand easier to play, but avoiding somewhat tough decisions is not the way to maximize your ev.
In your other paragraph you argue you would fold against someone who is capable of barreling off but call against someone who shuts it down; I get that you don´t want to face bets you are uncomfortable with due to bet size, but this is flawed and also not the way to think.
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
AhAd | 14.39% | 1,710 | 0 |
77,55,22, 7h5h, 7c5c, 7d5d | 85.61% | 10,170 | 0 |
if he plays every pp and combo of 75suited which is probably not true.
however, this is not a range.
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
AhAd | 51.89% | 12,330 | 0 |
77,55,22, 7h5h, 7c5c, 7d5d, JJ, TT | 48.11% | 11,430 | 0 |
that doesnt even include flush draws and spazz. Play around a little bit and you are over 60% quite rapidly.
folding here is highly exploitable; if we fold AA without the A
, we fold every hand besides AK/AQ/AJ
. To make such an extreme deviation from standard play, we need some pretty extreme and accurate reads.
1) villain seems to slowplay his nutted hands.
2) villain seems to be at least a little bit of a buttonclicker
3) villain seems to be passive pre, overpairs are in his range imo.
4) he´s not tilting anymore and seems to be somewhat tight which is bad, but that´s not enough to really concern me.
I wouldnt call either since a lot of turns would either kill your hand or your action and from my experience most live fish are pretty incapable of folding valuehands a once they raise.
he might easily have overpairs and flushdraws in his range. We are not that deep, calling commits us anyway. Just shove.