Facing a flop shove with an overpair
01-07-2019
, 07:23 PM
1/2 at the Venetian
Hero $200 (OTB) Q
Q
Villain $200 (MP)
Villain seems to be playing pretty loose and seeing a lot of flops but not much of a read as she just got to the table 30 mins ago.
Villain opens to $12. Hero raises to $30. Folds to villain who calls
Flop ($63):
10
J
6
Villain checks. Hero bets $50. Villain shoves for $170. Hero folds.
Line check on the open, flop and whether this is a fold.
Hero $200 (OTB) Q
QVillain $200 (MP)
Villain seems to be playing pretty loose and seeing a lot of flops but not much of a read as she just got to the table 30 mins ago.
Villain opens to $12. Hero raises to $30. Folds to villain who calls
Flop ($63):
10
J
6
Villain checks. Hero bets $50. Villain shoves for $170. Hero folds.
Line check on the open, flop and whether this is a fold.
Last edited by venetioon; 01-07-2019 at 07:41 PM.
01-07-2019
, 08:46 PM
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 19,800 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: J T 6 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| QdQh | 34.58% | 6,748 | 198 |
| JJ, TT, 66, KQ, AcJc, AcQc, AcKc | 65.42% | 12,854 | 198 |
Sets, KQ, and big Ax combo draws is still a call at this price. If he can have 89 and can 't have aces or kings it's a flip. If he can straight bluff or has more draws it gets even better. Pretty tough fold.
01-08-2019
, 04:00 AM
Quote:
Sets, KQ, and big Ax combo draws is still a call at this price. If he can have 89 and can 't have aces or kings it's a flip. If he can straight bluff or has more draws it gets even better. Pretty tough fold.
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 19,800 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: J T 6 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| QdQh | 34.58% | 6,748 | 198 |
| JJ, TT, 66, KQ, AcJc, AcQc, AcKc | 65.42% | 12,854 | 198 |
Sets, KQ, and big Ax combo draws is still a call at this price. If he can have 89 and can 't have aces or kings it's a flip. If he can straight bluff or has more draws it gets even better. Pretty tough fold.
I'd put at least some combos of AJo before I start putting a lot of combos of KQ. What about JTs?
Last edited by Minatorr; 01-08-2019 at 04:14 AM.
