Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
FWIW, OP is unclear whether we are only $900 deep against this guy and what the other stacks are.
Right, though due to the comma I'm assuming the others are not as deep. They probably aren't since 900 is 300BB, but who knows.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
If one of our goals is to get the most money in preflop (or more accurately the biggest percentage of stack to help prevent IO against us), the best way to do this is by limp/reraising, not by raising.
Yeah that's one of our goals. Limp/reraising is problematic for a lot of reasons in low limit games. If half the time our limp just gets limped around that's terrible, and in a lot of games it may happen more than that. If we do get a chance to limp/reraise, unless we're doing this with a lot more than AA we better have some moronic opponents. Even the fish usually know the limp/reraise is usually AA. Which is why I sometimes limp/reraise hands like AXs.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Sure, on some boards you may be able to get away from you hand more easily that others. The point is overall it's going to be very difficult, especially if opponents just call their monsters on the flop. You'll be OOP, where stacks can go in trivially by the turn with 2 PSBs, or even put you to a commitment decision on the flop (and good luck making the correct decision because it's the only one that's going to matter this sesssion).
GcluelessNLnoobG
Making the correct decision OTF is not necessarily as problematic as you may think. Compared to a scenario of raising $15, when we raise $50 and get the same number of callers (which was the assumption) we have an extra $140 in the pot. So our EV in the second scenario post-flop would have to be $140*(our equity share) worse, and our equity share should be around 60% so our EV would have to be $84 worse in the second scenario due to all the dead money, and it just isn't. So we may make an incorrect decision not optimizing our EV but still end up with a better scenario.
Though I'm not accepting the premise that it's somehow worse to have a bloated pot with AA than a small pot since most of the bloated pot belongs to us.
I have an aggressive image and double barrel a lot so if I can GII by the turn I do not remotely see this as problematic, OOP or not. Villains simply have more TP and hands that call the flop and fold the turn than hands that crush us. Even on boards like T98tt we're only crushed by 9 sets, up to 32 straights, and up to 27 2p (against which we have 8 outs). This is a bad flop but we still beat 12, maybe 18 OPs and 51 AT/KT/QT/JT with $200 already in the middle. And many more hands will call the flop and fold OTT. And most flops will have fewer 2p, perhaps zero, and fewer straights, against perhaps zero.
I don't accept people call only monsters OTF. They also call with strong (sometimes weak) draws (and TP, OP, but let's assume monsters and draws). And if opponents only call these hands OTF, this is also not necessarily bad because we pick up the $150 in pre-flop calls extremely often and they fold the turn extremely often so we pick up another say $100 * number of callers.
And this being 1/3 if we bet the flop and someone does have a monster they probably raise (usually a lol minraise) and let us know they hit their set.
All these considerations I think more than counterbalance the times someone hits a set IP and passively calls down. Again, why is it better if someone hits a set with even more IO? If we open to $15 we might bet flop, turn, and river, only to be raised OTR by a slowplayed set or w/e and have to fold.
None of this is to say I generally advocate raising to $50 with AA, but the idea that you're better off in a small pot than a big one with the nut hole cards is just crazy...I don't care what the SPR is. If we have the nuts, we make money by getting money into the pot.