Quote:
Originally Posted by fogodchao
lol every time i read one of your HHs i can never find a single problem right away
Only thing that can really be analyzed is what is most profitable otr. You can determine the most profitable line by plugging in the chance you think he will call different bet sizes and determining what will net you the most profit.
EV=(pcall)(s)
where pcall is the chance you will be called by a weaker hand and S is the size of your bet
We'll assume he calls a bet of 225 100% of the time and a shove 50% of the time.
Betting 225 nets you a EV of 225=(1.0)(225)
Shoving for 492 if he's calling about 50% of the time gives you an ev 246=(0.50)(492)
Shoving is the most optimal line if you think you have a chance of getting called more than 50% of the time. If not, then a smaller bet works best.
Close enough but your hand isnt always good. So you need to consider that the hands making up 50% folds will all be hands you beat. Yea factor in equity.