Quote:
Originally Posted by scrybe
Not all loose players are LAGs. In particular, this guy seems passive stationy.
This. As described the guy sounds like a station, but you haven't seen him make any meaningful bluffs yet.
He doesn't have any value hand that we beat any more, so now we're only beating a bluff and need him to be bluffing almost 30% of the time to be good.
What hand does he get to the river with that he decides to turn into a bluff? A lot of his flush draws have a K as well, so no need to bluff with those. J9cc, T9cc and T8cc? Maybe 56cc? You're now behind his flush draws with 7s in them, and in a prior hand he didn't turn a busted flush draw into a bluff anyway. Either you were always beat here (slow played JT for instance) or the 7 hit him by giving him a better two pair with an ace or weird trips.