Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Isn't SD a reflection of variance? I'm actually not really sure if that's the case or not (I really am clueless about it) but if it is (???) I've been told my SD is pretty small (which is why I included it above).
My whole method regarding big overpairs is to not really care if I run into sets. If I run into them in a limped pot, I lose a small pot. If I run into them in a limp/reraised pot for huge percentages of stacks preflop, nice hand sir.
And while I'm always wary of lol 1000 hour sample sizes, I think I was simply playing too loosely / laggier in my previous 1300 hour sample size (especially for the stacks sizes / rake / table conditions) than I am now. But I'm not really all that confident in reading too much into the ~50% increase in winrate over those spans either.
I will admit that I think it would be difficult to get some truly crushing winrates using the method I'm currently using. But, as you know, I question whether those unicorn rates are possible at these stakes / rake / stack sizes / conditions.
GworkinprogressG
Sure, but you are a lot more likely to go on a bad run if you lose AA 7 times in a row or something like that. Its impossible to recover if you arent playing enough other hands and winning other pots.
You most likely weren't playing too loose or LAGgy in the other sample. You probably just werent playing very well because you dont have enough experience playing those hands that are tougher to play. Playing a big pair is easy, especially if you make a huge reraise preflop. You either take it down preflop or you have no difficult decisions post flop because the SPR is low. But that is 100% not the most profitable way to play those hands.
Raising hands like QJ or 87s are a lot more difficult to learn to play well because you get put in a lot more difficult spots with things like middle pair, but when you figure out how to play those well, you have so many more opportunities to make money. Assuming you play better than your opponents, the more hands you play the more money you make and the less you are at the whim of the cards.
I dont fully understand SD either as it relates to overall variance, but I do think its deceiving because it only accounts for SD based on end of session by session and not results intra-session.