Playing a 1/2 home game, have a little bit of history with V. He is very LAG, probably too much so. Has shown down a few ridiculous bluffs throughout the night and I've played with him enough before to know this isn't unusual. Still a solid player, probably even winning, just tends to spew every so often

We are late into the night, down to 3-handed and $710 effective with V

BTN folds, Hero raises to $7 (standard for everyone) with 9T, V 3-bets to $24, Hero calls.

Flop: 247 (Pot = $48)

Hero checks, V bets $18, Hero calls.

Turn: 6

Hero leads for $50 into $84, V calls.

River: 8

Hero bets $150 into $184.

So I know this is kind of a mess of a hand, I'll go through my thoughts on each street.

Pre-flop: I make a standard open with 9Ts, definitely the right play imo. When V 3-bets, I believe 9Ts is strong enough to call. Even if I fold a large portion of my hands and still have 9Ts in my calling range I think it can be profitable, especially 3 handed. I can fold lower suited connectors like 23s-67s, bad suited hands like J2s-J6s, Q2s-Q7s, bad offsuit hands like 75o-9To, etc. All in all, I feel that 9Ts is a little to strong to fold.

Flop: On the flop, looking back I might like a raise. At the time, the small bet made me feel like I had to continue with a large range, but 9Ts is probably bad enough to either fold/raise here. Raising gives me fold equity, barrel cards like any club, 6,8,J. However, as played we call which might be the worst option.

Turn: Turn is a great card for our speculative hand and a decent card for our range, as we have more straights/sets but he might have more two pair combos with low suited connectors that 3-bet. I think leading here is probably the right play after calling the flop, he checks back often with air and 1 pair holdings that can call me down on a river bluff. It also takes away the initiative on his bluffs. If I check here and he bets big, my hands are tied and I will probably have to just fold. By leading, I can easily fold to a raise and do all the positive things I listed.

River: The River is the magic card, the stone nuts in a deep 3-bet pot. Now the real decision is the sizing to bet. Any 5 is now a straight and is probably calling any bets as I have an extremely disguised hand. However, if I make too large of a bet he can easily fold all over-pairs, two-pairs, etc. (Also discourages a river bluff-raise but I'm not too worried about that). Looking back, I think I like either betting something more like $80-$100 or overbetting. The small bet allows those 1-2 pair hands to sigh-call and a 5 to possible raise. A large bet makes any 5 call but folds the weaker hands. As played, I think something like $150 might be good because it looks more like a bluff and he might put the hero cape on, but he will probably call with a 5 instead of raising.

I'm still not sure what the best option is, what do you guys think? I'll post results later

I think river bet is too much for a decent player to call here. I mean any overpair is a bluff catcher at this point, even AA as you would not have played the hand like you did with 99-KK.

I would prefer a "same bet" on the river as the turn. It looks marginal and not thinking at all and maybe he even considers raising it. No more than half pot though (giving him 3-1).

FYI, I think I fold flop (or CR and lead turn which was the best card in the whole deck for you).

I´m folding or 4betting pre. Sucks that this is blind vs blind, but I doubt we´re making money oop against a 4 times 3bet of our open. It doesn´t help much if he´s 3betting wide, too.

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation

410,952,960 trials (Exhaustive)

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
Tc9c	37.55%	149,894,722	8,870,040
20%	62.45%	252,188,198	8,870,040

we barely get immediate odds to call, and it´s gonna be tough to realize our equity oop, even if he is playing way too loose. 4bet is reasonable imo, but not a good hand to do it. These types of hands are just not that good in a shorthanded game.

Anyways, as played easy fold otf. You got way better hands to defend here.
As played, turn is a c/. most of the time, this goes c/c, and you can win otr by either making your hand or betting small to repp any pair. tough to not have a pair by taking your line. you could c/r, but don´t lead. you repp absolutely nothing.

I like your sizing otr. I´d even go bigger. Your line looks so FOS, might as well polarize yourself by overbetting