Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
why everyone so passive?
i'm looking to balance my best combo draws against 2pr+ whenever possible, and don't see the need to be passive just because the paired card is an Ace.
i'd c/gii for sure, and c/r much larger than 40 (depending on effective stacks).
as played the hand becomes a complete disaster. that's a HUGE -EV result. pot commit 75dd with a c/r and turn jam, since llsnl players hate folding flush draws and there's hardly a ton of AJ+ hands in that pf action.
The limp/caller shouldn't have a lot of 2pr+ on AK3sdd, and especially not in comparison to the PFR. We can have 3 combos 33 and 2 combos A3s, so 5 combos total. We're blocking top set and that's cool, but when the PFR c-bets into three players we should acknowledge that he still has 15 combos of AA/KK/22/AK/A3s and might even have the K3s combos as well.
Why not select combo draws that have no SDV but a good bunch of outs against AJ? Something like 54dd, QJdd, JTdd. We can fold out a few bluffing combos that were ahead of us, might fold out some weak top pairs, and if he 3bets the flop with KK then we don't lose out all that much because our equity against a set wasn't that much to scream about anyway. When he 3bets when we hold A3dd OOP it really sucks because we could end up throwing away great equity against a straight draw + FD or getting it in against one of his top of the range combos that have us in bad shape.
If we simply decide to x/r all of our Axdd on this flop then we're actually unbalanced in the direction of too many draws since we only have 5 big value combos and 7ish NFDs assuming we limped A2s-A9s.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk