Live 2/3 NLH 9 handed. I'm in CO with JTss, UTG1 and UTG2 limp, I raise to $15, Buttons folds, SB 3-bets to $75, UTG1 and UTG2 fold. SB is essentially a poker pro, I call which was a mistake because I just don't have the right pot odds, but I'm a bit of a fish and hate folding JTs

Flop comes AT4. SB rips it for about $225. So my logic of thinking is that since he's a really good player, it's doubtful he's jamming with super premium hands like AA, AT. I have a J and T blocker so I don't put him on TT or JJ, and since there is an ace on board I doubt he does that with KK QQ (as a value bet) So in my mind He mostly has AQs and AKs here for value, but has lots of bluffing combos like 99 88, T9s, 89s etc. I tank for ages and end up calling, he did have the AQ and I don't make a flush. Essentially in my head I called because he only has 2 value combos vs lots of bluff combos and I crush a lot of his bluffs.

I don't think he had any tells or exploitative play on me either. Lmk if I'm the biggest fish or if it was a good call

You only need like 35% equity, so call looks good.

You should have about 50% equity with villain just shoving like top 5% of hands, including sets. Once you discount those, your hand gets even better.

Thanks! And do you think my logic of thinking through the hand is good or do I need to consider some frequencies of his jamming range etc.

Assuming effective stacks are $300, easy call OTF, bordering on trivial.

Preflop is horrible but the fact that an aware player can't let go here is why live poker will never die, so there's that.

We'll ignore the oxymoron of a pro 2/3 player for the moment.

Start with what is his 3 bet range. That range needs to align with how often is he 3 betting. If he is 3 betting light, he should be 3 betting about once an orbit. Which means he should be sticking out like a sore thumb. No word in your OP that he is very aggressive and 3 betting a lot.

Since he is a "pro,", he should be thinking about your 3 bet calling range. That would be a bunch of big pairs and AK/AQ. At an SPR of less than 2, he got to figure you're going to be calling with your Ax hands. He's hoping you'll fold your other big pairs.

This is a fold because a lot of his bluffs beat you. Even if he has something like KQ, he has 9 outs twice to beat you.

Now if he is a typical blow hard "I'm a pro, I'm going to prove how superior I am to you by my sick bluffs," then a call could be in order.

Just adding a couple of comments:

1) Pre sizing is small with two limpers. Standard $20+.

2) SB 3b range should be tighter with the BTN fold and BB yet to act. If BTN called, SB is incented to 3b wider b/c there is more dead $ to be had.

With V having no Ace/flush combo’s I’m shrug calling. When you call the 3b pre dreams of a flop like this should give you a boner.

Even if V has zero bluffs, we have ~45% equity here. Easy call.

Pre is bad. Very, very, bad.

Exactly, H needs around 35% equity to call. Against the top of V’s range, (AA,TT, AQs+, ATs, AQo, ATo) H has about 45%. The 3bet call however, Mmmm….

Not deep enough to call pre. Flop is an easy call.

He jammed because he expects to get called. You either have a piece or you've got squat. You're just compounding a mistake like this. You can always get odds to call if you keep pot committing yourself.

Some villains jam nutted hands here because they fear getting drawn out on.

I would just overlimp preflop but that's my style.

Calling the reraise preflop for 25% of our stack to setup an SPR 1.5 pot (where position is completely negated) is really horrible, imo.

At this SPR on a pretty drawy board, a shove is pretty much the only bet, so there is no reason he can't have TP (or even bigger). Yeah, once and a while he'll be semibluffing with KQ / 99 / etc, but even some of those hands have equity, plus even our outs against TP can be counterfeited. So estimating 5 outs seems a fairish estimate, and using the rule of 2 and 4 means we'd like to get getting about 4:1 to make a ~breakevenish call and yet we're not even getting 2:1 thanks to the overbet. We'd have to be ahead quite a lot of the time to make this remotely close. Pretty easy fold for me.

ETA: Oh, we have the flush draw? Thought we only had the pair. Yeah, easy flop call if we have the flush draw.

Gyikes,imoG