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Calling vs Nut Scare Card Calling vs Nut Scare Card

05-25-2019 , 09:47 AM
JhJd utg+2 tag image

450 effective at 1/2

Two limps I raise to 15
Utg+3 calls (new to table appears to play fit or fold)
Sb and bb call

Sb loves to c/r and bluff and has a very wide range

Flop (60)
Q46 2 diamonds

Checks around

Turn
8c

Checks to me, I bet 25, trying to get value from 4,6,or 8 and to protect from A or K rivers, I wasn’t trying to fold out diamonds with this size

Only Utg+3 calls

River
Ad

I check he bets 40

I feel like he is mainly repping Qx when he calls the turn, and he’s never betting a lone Q on this river. I don’t think he gets here with any Ax because he would fold the turn so that leaves two pair plus and diamonds for value.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 11:00 AM
What bluffs does he have

Turn bet too small
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05-25-2019 , 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by matzah_ball
What bluffs does he have

Turn bet too small
Pair plus straight draws
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 11:44 AM
It’s honestly pretty rare to see people turn a pair into a bluff, although this is obviously a good time to do it.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 11:46 AM
OP: is the Q on board a diamond or not? Thanks. I think it matters a little.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 11:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spanishmoon
OP: is the Q on board a diamond or not? Thanks. I think it matters a little.
Yes Q and A are diamonds and I have J of diamonds.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 12:25 PM
I think this is a pretty straightforward call. He bets a Qx when checked to him on flop. There are plenty of suited diamond combos that he can flat UTG+3 but the a, q and j block so many of them. So he has as many TT/99 and 77 as diamond combos that make sense here and might take his line.

Turn bet just has to be bigger here. AP I’m calling getting 7-2 expecting to beat a mid pair at least half the time.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spanishmoon
I think this is a pretty straightforward call. He bets a Qx when checked to him on flop. There are plenty of suited diamond combos that he can flat UTG+3 but the a, q and j block so many of them. So he has as many TT/99 and 77 as diamond combos that make sense here and might take his line.

Turn bet just has to be bigger here. AP I’m calling getting 7-2 expecting to beat a mid pair at least half the time.
Ok thanks, I did call and got shown the bad news.

However, I’m confused on how to approach the turn bet bc I was trying to pot control. The Sb 20% of the time was a full on maniac, and could have 48o here. And they would c/r almost any gutter ott, Then jam river and I had no desire to play for stacks with on a wet board with a marginal hand.

Should I have just checked again?
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05-25-2019 , 01:20 PM
I probably fold river, he has a bunch of medium flushes and probably A8/A6/A4 as well. But it's close for sure.

Turn sizing is smallish but still fine. And checking would be a mistake.
Calling vs Nut Scare Card Quote
05-25-2019 , 02:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dtrain555
Ok thanks, I did call and got shown the bad news.

However, I’m confused on how to approach the turn bet bc I was trying to pot control. The Sb 20% of the time was a full on maniac, and could have 48o here. And they would c/r almost any gutter ott, Then jam river and I had no desire to play for stacks with on a wet board with a marginal hand.

Should I have just checked again?
Turn x no good, just bet bigger.

Worth considering is betting the flop when bb/sb x to you. Only main V is behind. H has all TPTK and NFD. Your check behind kinda caps you and limits your turn options.

So turn weak blocker looks fishy and prices in draws. Miraculously, H gets HU anyway. Had H bet flop, he probably could've barreled everyone out on this brickish turn (only 75 got there).
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05-26-2019 , 11:37 AM
turn is fine
easy x/f river if diamonds got there
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