My local $3-5 game has a $500 capped buy-in. I've been playing poker for about 10 years, the first 5 recreationally, but for the past 3 years I'been supplementing my income consistently to the tune of about $1k/month (about $25-30/hr, which is about the same as I make in my job) playing 2 nights a week and limiting my sessions to around 4-5 hours/session, as this is about as long as I can play my best game. I keep a 30 buy-in bankroll of $15k, but generally don't put more than two into play on a given night.
I had been playing for about 3 hours and had just gotten back to even after being down about $200 when this hand comes up:
7-handed: S1-SB [~$400], S2-BB [~$600], S3-$10 straddle [$~1k], S4-fold, S5(ME)-raise to $35 with A
-K
[~$500], S6(V1)-reraise to $120 [$700], S7-folds [$600], and it folds back around to me.
Here's my run down of the line up:
S1 is pretty ABC but a little weak-tight; S2 isn't too much different. S3 is the action, he straddles every time he can and tonight he's running a little lucky. S4 is unknown as he just sat in for a minimum buy. S6 is a local regular and I see him book more wins than losses, but he plays a little loose aggressive. S7 is my main focus.
If I call, I've commited a quarter of my stack and the pot has ballooned to $258 PF. I will need to hit the flop and will have to play the remainder of the hand OOP. Unless I smash the flop, I will most likely check with the intent to call, but also realize that V1's c-bet of half-pot or more will get me relatively pot committed, minus a bad turn (say, one card straight or flush). If I out-flop him, I probably don't win a whole lot more, maybe a c-bet of 1/3 pot at best? I hadn't thought much further, becuase I'd need to see the actual flop.
I feel like I do not have a big enough stack to re-raise and have enough left post-flop to dissuade him from not just about auto-calling, nor do I get him to lay down 88 or 99 which is the absolute lowest part of his three-bet range. I don't like a PF shove here either because I pretty much have his range narrowed to AQs to TT+ (see previous assessment). V1 is ahead of me with most of his range; I'm coin flipping or seriously behind. AQ is the only hand I'm leading. There's a slight chance he's making a move, but I don't get a 'read' that's he's three-betting light and it would take a near all-in PF shove to find out. This gets me $173 if I'm right and even money if I'm wrong, if I'm not already dominated.
I decide to fold, for a couple of reasons: 1) I'm only losing $35 (7% of my stack) and can try for a better spot or at least a lesser PF-sized raise and/or pot-size and 2) This is based partially on my read of V1 also just slightly due my having just gotten unstuck - I know this is emotional and not empirical, but occasionally I go this way.
I know I'm folding, but still 'Hollywood' it a little for about 30 secs, just for image protection/preservation - I think my image is tight, maybe even a little nitty. I'm not one who has to show the 'sick folds' nor do I want to give my opponents any free info.
I'm good with my decision, but just wanted to see if others see it differently or think it's too weak?
Last edited by sam7595; 04-18-2018 at 07:55 AM.