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Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Mostly we end up putting in 2bbs per orbit with a junk hand that we have to fold preflop / flop.
I mean this without a trace if hostility but you certainly realize that you fold way more than most people, right?
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Also, doubling stakes in a capped game where a lot of opponents are sitting on 50bbs to start with is kinda pointless.
It's not pointless because your winrate doubles.
Let's say you post 2 bbs and lose a fraction of that on average, say, 1 bb. Now take what you were expecting to win on the BTN and double that because the stakes are doubled. So if you win more than 0.5 bb/hand OTB and lose half of your post, you come out ahead.
You could have a lower EV (which is money won divided by money risked) but a higher WR (money won divided by time).
Now I certainly agree that it's non-trivial to come out ahead. For one, you have to minimize the loss on your post by defending differently (you have to defend wider because you have position). Secondly, the action has to double (that is, you have to raise double what you'd normally do). But these aren't insurmountable risks, and often what happens is that people adjust poorly - they don't double their postflop bets when they are ahead and you do when you're ahead; they will fold hands they would have called at lower stakes and call hands they would have raised because the money gets too scary.
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Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
If you've somehow convinced yourself it is profitable, then you should probably also be blind minraising your CO out-of-turn, no?
If you're allowed to straddle from the CO the calculations are done the same way but the numbers start skewing against you. As you lose each notch, the cost of posting goes up (more people raise behind you and drive up the cost of defending) and the benefit of position goes down (you play more hands OOP and fewer IP).
It may still be profitable to straddle the CO, but less likely so and less so. And HJ gets worse, and at some point not even the world's best player can overcome the plummeting value of posting.
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Originally Posted by from the other thread
So why not minraise blind on the BTN?
Well, for starters, you don't get to screw over the natural blinds, so you lose a bit there. And people may not size their preflop bets to double the action, which takes away from the incentive to do it. But most importantly, you can't raise if it's limped to you, which means you get fewer IO on your good hands.