Quote:
Originally Posted by AllTheCheese
Really hate this pot sized flop bet. Your stack is only 200, so if you bet 15 flop, 40 on a safe turn, then you'll have a little under a pot sized bet behind to jam the river. In other words, you don't have to pot the flop to win your opponent's stack.
1) Pot sized bets on these types of Boards are great at 1/2. V is either calling or not calling, so why not get the most out of them now? Typically 1/2 players view Flop pot bets as weakness or 'scared' bets, not value bets. (Why would she bet some much with a good hand?)
2) What/who is calling a pot sized River jam? It's too late unless Hero is beat. 1/2 players hate to call bets over $100 unless they are 'nutted' in their mind ... two pair plus IMO.
3) The quick call on Flop is good IMO, typically a drawing type of hand or 99-QQ/AK-AT/A9s that doesn't take much thought to call with.
4) Was it a quick bet on the Turn? Yes, it could be Jx but typically a player will pause to calculate bet/pot/stacks with a super strong hand. They may think it's less likely that you have a Jack/stronger hand as well with your checking into them. Quick bets are usually 'misses' or 'status unchanged' bets.
I agree that I'm calling here on the Turn most of the time. I'm still giving this V 99+ (maybe a stretch) ... but there are plenty of KK-QQ bettors out there that don't expect you to handle AA this way. In a stereotypical fashion you might expect a woman to have a small range, but that still includes KK-QQ.
Pretty much check/calling the River as well unless there is some super strong live tells going on. I certainly 'could' fold some of the time .. need to see the action to be sure. GL