I'd call. He may have considered your raise in the previous hand an aggressive move to bluff him and he figures he's going to show you who's swinging the biggest. The looking away is a classic Caro tell, but lot's of players do reverse tells these days.
Not enough history for me to believe my read has reliability but i view the water drinking as self rewarding behavior, indicative of strength. With only $68 invested, no live redraws and a 2.5x pot bet, i fold.
It's these tweaky degens that do this kind of stuff with sets. This guy has the rando factor. Not enough combo draws on the flop. Close spot so I don't care too much either way I guess fold.
No, just difference of opinion on its interpretation. I dont put any stock in the belief that his action relates at all to losing 32 bucks in the prior hand.
FWIW my drink tell is strength and I stopped doing it.
The mini-seizure while drinking (or otherwise) looks like an adrenalin surge to me and I probably fold. Absent this ‘read’ I fold anyway for a full stack shove.
I’m calling ~$200 in a vacuum because flop donks tend to be weak in my game, they tend to slow down OTT with money behind but are more likely to jam if they feel committed.
