For me it mostly boils down to how often people in your 1/3 NL game get in ~$400. Yeah, we don't have much of a read on this guy. But he's getting in ~$400 freaking dollars in a 1/3 NL game by the turn. He bet large on the flop into 2 opponents (he didn't bet nearly as large on his hand before), we called, and he shipped a huge bet. I want more info on exactly how maniacal this guy is before I start calling bets this large, so I go with my default play (which I would make to 98% of opponents) and fold now and wait for a better read to suggest he's in the 2% of opponents.
Ha, was also going to say this might be the one and only time I agree with an actual point that wait made (i.e. you guys are trying to hard with the drink read).
Ha, was also going to say this might be the one and only time I agree with an actual point that wait made (i.e. you guys are trying to hard with the drink read).