You seem not to realize that nearly all of his draws are flips or equity favorites over your hand. In order for you to be actually ahead, he has to have a nut flush draw that isn't A
K
/A
Q
/A
J
/A
4
/A
3
. Even when that happens he has 11 outs. All his other club draws have at least 6 extra outs beyond the 8 clubs left in the deck because they can hit a pair to pass you (and sometimes also a straight if he has low enough cards). Also, he will not fold after raising a club draw here because you're laying him too good a price. He only has to call 190 more to win 430ish and you almost never have better than an overpair here. Even if he put you on AA, he would only be making a slight mistake, at worst, by calling. You should not count on having any fold equity unless his raising range is wider than you think it is.
This play is a recipe for getting it in bad. If you actually think his range is weighted toward club draws, so much so that you are willing to put your whole stack in the middle with ace high, why not just call the flop and then jam most blank turns?
Last edited by CallMeVernon; 01-31-2016 at 09:02 PM.