[QUOTE=coachnorowski;51785313]
I 4 bet to $70,
ep raiser folds and the button calls $70 and has about $200 left. I have not seen the villain here make a call like this, so
I am putting him on a premium hand. KK, QQ, JJ, AK. We see a flop of Q
8
3
Look at the two things I've highlighted.
1) The BTN didn't 4!
2) given 1, why would KK be in his range? Why would AK be in his range. This is live so I could see QQ or AK be in his range but I would weight it more towards TT, JJ, AQ or AKo.
The flop is a pretty easy bet. I would expect villain to call JJ and TT some of the time which is great, AQ all of the time which is great, I doubt AK will ever shove on you because you have the A
and of course shove QQ. If he shoves, it might not seem like it but its an easy call. Why is it an easy call?
Flop: Pot = $160
Hero bets $80 (as they should)
Villain shoves for $200
Pot = $440 with $120 to call.
$120 to win $660 = 21.4% equity needed
If we think that villain is only shoving QQ, 88 and AQ and only AQ 50% of the time our equity is 38.2%.
It's a call.