Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Again, I've already addressed much of this above.
I'm saying there is no difference in calling frequency for any "reasonable" raise. Obvious open shoving vs minraising is going to have quite a difference in calling frequencies. But that's not what we're talking about here. We're debating 4x vs 8x like that makes any difference in calling frequency, and it simply *does not*.
Getting away from a Q72 flop doesn't just apply to our opponents who have AQ. It also applied to us when our opponent has 77/22 (by the way, did a preflop raise eliminate those hands?).
If we can raise and get it HU against a lone loose-passive player that is calling too wide, great, awesome, the raiser is definitely punishing the limper. But if the we raise and it goes 6ways, the raiser is often going to be the one that is punished. Again, I'm not saying this isn't necessarily a -EV result (although for non wizards it most likely is); I'm simply saying we can do better.
GwecandobetterG
What I am saying is their is no unreasonable raise size, provided we can expect to get calls from strong hands and weed out weak ones. We have been talking back in forth in extremes, i.e. open shoving or limping but we haven't addressed the in between where actual poker gets played. Small raise sizes get calls, and if we can choose between 5 calls of a 10x raise and 5 limps, then I can see the argument that we might as well play for 1x because the variance is the same but amplitude at 10x is our entire stack.
Maybe 5x gets it done on some tables. But if we raise to 10x and get 5 calls, then we increase our raise size to 15x, or 20x, ANYTHING that gets the field narrowed. In practice, it usually isn't going to take crazy raise sizes to get the field narrowed.
On the second point, yes sometimes our villain will hit a set with 77/22. But to choose to go multiway rather than risk some villain
maybe having a pocket pair that hits a set 10% of the time or less on the flop is just not sound strategy. Making a pair isn't easy to do, and one pair isn't beating us. Making two pair, a set, or flopping a straight+ is even harder, and we know going in that is what villains have to do.
On the final point, in a six way pot, the PFR is going to lose more than he wins
against the field. But the PFR with AA is going to win more than anyone else, and we should play accordingly.
We're probably never going to see I2I on this, and that's fine. Hopefully the OP will get something out of two very different approaches to the same concept.