Quote:
Originally Posted by BigPavelski
I guess we will agree to disagree !!!!!
Not sure why you guys are so against villans folding out equity ????
We got a blank river and still not sure what to do .. yup call Turn is def the right play !!!!!!
Gimme a break
There is of course value in denying an opponent equity. It's one of the 2 reasons we bet. But rarely in a wa/WB spot will it be +EV.
The "behind" portion of his range is drawing to as little as 2 outs or dead. In this case he had 4.5% equity or a little over $10 in equity you would be earning by folding him out with a $240 shove.
The "behind" portion of his range could have a max 18% equity (9Ts or 45s). Overall it's something like 7-8% or $16-19 in equity. We block half his 9Ts combos.
So there isn't much value in denying the small equity his range has on this board texture.
Then you have to weigh that against the "ahead" part of his range. Against which we are drawing very slim.
Since we have a rainbow board and the board paired there is very little medium strength in his range that he could be over valuing. That is he's very polarized here. So he's bluffing or has us crushed.
His bluffs can't really call a raise and have little equity but might continue bluffing. I mean is he check raising as a single barrel bluff? Maybe but doubtful.
If you are shoving because you won't know what to do on most rivers you should probably just fold to a turn X/r on a dry board when top pair trips up. If you are good enough to identify sizing tells and rule out trips 100% as some here are then I really don't see fear of folding the best hand otr as motivation to shove a wa/WB turn spot.