Quote:
Originally Posted by heliumXD
OP, I find the analysis very results oriented. Most people will fold 76 there. Unless you knew he's this spew prior to the hand, a shove isn't warranted. The only hand here you're bluffing is AK, which he will fold maybe 60% of the time. Of the many other hands you're getting value from, shoving deters his action. The river gives him a lot of negative implied odds, and being backdoor diamonds, it's well hidden.
Raise to $12 in MP, there are many sets in his range. You have about 25% average equity whenever you're called. This is a classic way ahead/way behind situation.
Agree with this post here. Yes, we've all seen crazy players make crazy plays, but most of the time they're betting into you, not calling crazy light to light their money on fire.
You turned your hand into a bluff on the turn, and against most opponents you're getting called by better a big majority of the time.
