Quote:
Originally Posted by SqredII
I play a ton of suited connectors and gappers and kind of thought it was one of the cornerstones of playing good deepstack no limit. I just use a default fall back rule I learned on Bart Hanson's site. The bet call (preflop) needs to be getting 20 to 1 for a connector and 30 to 1 for a gapper against a legitimate opening range. Of course, having position is great, but I will make exceptions depending on the most likely mistakes the preflop raiser tends to make. I also skew the price I need up or down if I have a good handle on the way the raiser plays.
But in typical reg infested games where most guys are looking for reasons to fold, I think avoiding this spot is leaving a lot of money on the table.
Couple things in this post jump at me. 1) if you're going by a rule of thumb seeking IO of 30x for a gapper, note that the open was to $25 and effective stacks are $550. You'd need eff stacks of $750 for that to apply. Also, that suggestion from Hanson includes having position. 2) "having position is great." Position is not just a nice side benefit. It is a defining aspect of what makes some hands pos EV or neg EV in different situations.
But, the biggest thing that hit me here: "typical reg fest where most guys are looking for reasons to fold."
What games are you playing in? I'm not playing in those games. I'm playing in games where they call four barrels including the river with 2nd pair on a QT732r board bc "I put you on AK."
There are individual players who are looking for reasons to fold but they are the exception. In this particular spot, OP seems to have identified one and exploited that player.
The vast majority of opponents I have faced (and I log 600-700 hours live/year) are calling the river in this spot with AA and AK. Every time.
It's possible that V didn't have a top pair hand, maybe V had a weird hand that missed or QQ. But shipping your stack trying to get average LLSNL players to fold top pair or an over pair is lighting money on fire.
With eff stacks around 100bb, value betting is a more powerful weapon than bluffing.
And, fold pre. Calling suited one gappers, HU, is neg EV.