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Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit

06-02-2019 , 05:34 AM
This was the biggest pot I played last session at my local club, I called thinking I was behind for sure but the odds seemed way too good. Many diffirent ways to play I think, tell me what you think only 4th time I played live could use diffirent insight.

Stacks are somewhat deep me definitely over 100 as well as Villan. Other short stacks are present, table is 10 people.

Villan opens in middle position for 7, 3callers, Hero looks down in SB with 78

First significant decision to make, up until this point I have only played premium hands, but I definitely want to throw some bluffs in for fear I get labelled a nit and not get any action. I got bad position, obviously, but I have had some success 3betting big and getting everyone to fold.

Anyway I choose to raise instead of call, always lots of callers at this table with wide ranges so I expect everyone to fold except the nit which I place on a good hand. I go for bigger raise of 25. In retrospect I should have flatted, Villain's range is too strong in this spot. Anyway, Villain calls,3 folds.

Pot:79

Flop comes: 9t4

Hero checks.

Villan bets 30. Pretty big bet compared to his stack, he has about 80 behind. I have about 200. Folding is not an option for me with both a straight and flush draw, I almost always have over 50% equity despite probably being behind. I place Villain on an overpair of JJ+.

So choice is between a flat or a shove. I decide to call and fold to a shove on the river if my draws don't come in. Hoping the nit gives me a free turn.

Pot:139

T:8

Good card for me increases my outs for the river against the overpair I perceive I am up against.

Hero checks again. Board looks really scary for an overpair and I expect a check from Villain for sure. To my suprise Villain shoves for 80.

Hero:??

At this point I am almost for sure thinking overpair, Villain barely plays hands, almost never the aggressor in any pot. I think I am behind probably 95% of the time. Pot is 219, I believe I have 40% equity so my pot odds and equity are just about even.

Last edited by Garick; 06-02-2019 at 09:16 AM. Reason: removed results, clarified action
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote
06-02-2019 , 05:39 AM
3betting a nit light is bad. Sizing is very bad.

Flop, why isn’t SB acting first? Why are we flatting with 8 high?
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote
06-02-2019 , 06:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by matzah_ball
3betting a nit light is bad. Sizing is very bad.

Flop, why isn’t SB acting first? Why are we flatting with 8 high?
Being a Nit he might fold to a 3Bet, sizing is over 3x leaving a decent Stack to Pot ratio, anymore and he becomes pot comitted not matter the runout.

Yeah I guess I could lead, I was thinking this was such a bad runout for him he would run away, I gave my reasoning for flatting, did you not read it?

I would appreciate some analysis instead of just questions, how do I learn anythig from that?
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote
06-02-2019 , 07:01 AM
Your 3-bet is too small, it would be okay against a single open raise and no callers but with 3 callers behind you should make it larger. Especially when you're 3-betting a polarized range OOP because if you're doing that then you really want folds. So you should go something like 4x, so 28 against a single open raise + 3*7 = 21 = you could even go for something like 50 here to have some real fold equity.

And if you think someone will be pot commited if the raise is bigger then guess what - don't 3-bet light against a "shortstack" and look for better spots! :P

You didn't describe the action clearly and it looks like the villain is acting first. You forgot to say you checked the flop and checked the turn so it's confusing.

Anyway, when he bet 30 on the flop you should just shove all-in, let's say a turn is a complete brick like a 2 of spades and you don't have a pair, villain shoves - are you going to call with 8 high? No. Just put the money in and probably fold out broadway cards that are beating you at the moment.

Last edited by Volverin; 06-02-2019 at 07:11 AM.
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote
06-02-2019 , 09:14 AM
OP, stop including results. It biases advice.
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote
06-02-2019 , 09:22 AM
Pre is not a flat, it's a fold. SCs suck OOP with a small SPR vs a nit's EP raising range. If we're going to mix it up and 3!, we should make it near a PSR. Pot is already 35 with our call, and we made it just 18 more, a half-pot raise.

Flop is an easy shove, and here's why:
Quote:
I was thinking this was such a bad runout for him he would run away
Sweet! If he runs away, we win a pot over 100BBs with 8-high!

This is like the best spot to semi-bluff ever.
Analyzing tricky hand 1/1 live vs. Older Nit Quote

      
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