Live 1/3 cash game, villain is calling station (I think) and just joined the table 45 minutes prior. Hero covers villain, who has 265.

UTG opens to 12, villain in early position flats, Hero looks down at AK in the CO and 3-bets to 40. UTG folds, villain calls.

(90) Flop: AQ7 villain checks, hero bets 25, villain check raises to 55. Hero calls.

(200) Turn: 6 villain leads for 40, hero calls.

(280) River: 2 villain shoves for 130, hero makes crying call after thinking for 10 seconds.

Is it optimal to call here or does villain show up here with sets and two-pair too often for me to call?

People generally don't check raise bluff dry ace high boards against preflop aggressors. I’m not sure I can fold flop or turn for that price but I can’t see how we’re good when he shoves river. I expect to get shown 77 or A7/AQ
I would also 3b a little bigger

Yeah,i mean- alarmbells is going off when i get raised on the flop and continue barrelling on the turn against a 3 bettor on a board that is "ours".

Folding the river, as i dont think we are good here barely ever. Flop is rainbow too, so no flushdraw available or any real draws besides gutshots.

Calling this riverbet is burning money in the 1/3 games.

Just stuff the flop over xr imo, no need to get fancy as i have seen some pretty spewy lines from villain these stakes.

Similarly, would jam turn as played.

Obviously calling river.

When you are raised by a passive player on a dry flop (calling stations are mostly passive), TP is rarely good. You're priced in on the flop and turn, so I'm not good enough to fold. Silently thank him for being bad enough to let you get away with only spending 70.

One of the benefits to playing with a shorter stack is that we can setup our preflop sizing to ensure we see all 5 cards to realize our equity due to a planned flop shove, which also puts huge pressure on our opponents both preflop and on the flop. Playing on a short stack also makes the dead money in the pot more significant to our stack size and more worth risking to go after. So while I'd prefer a slightly smaller stack of $200, a $265 stack ain't horrendous for this plan, where I'd 3bet to ~$80 which will leave us with a ~PSB shove for any HU flop. A smaller 3bet at these stacks sizes will often leave us in weird no mans land on the turn with A high. Our 3bet sizing also offered about 10:1 to setminers; not horrible by any means, but perhaps just a touch more than I'd typically want. Just some options to consider regarding sizing (i.e. don't limit your sizing options to inside-the-box 3x or whatever).

As played, the SPR is 2.5 and we have TPTK so I basically feel committed. So now the question is how to get the stacks in. The board isn't very drawy so a small bet is fine, especially if we think that will induce spazz/bluffs.

So I'm quite fine with how we played the flop and turn, as it keeps all his bluffs/spazzes/overvalues in on a fairly drawless board.

And due to feeling committed on the flop, I'm supposed to just simply call off his last bet on the river and the plan all worked perfectly. The problem is that against the majority of the players, we're likely just not good here. If the dude is unknown, I think we have to sigh call. But against a well known passive calling station who never bluffs, I think we can consider making some stoopid hero folds here (basically changing our commitment plan due to the extremely strong actions he has taken in the hand).

GcluelessNLnoobG

Bet flop larger. It's not gto but he doesn't have a gto range. When you run sims vs ranges that are super wide and passive betting small goes out the window. If we get raised after we bet 60 on the flop it's an easy fold. Now we're just guessing. River is probably a fold vs most llsnl villians