Quote:
Originally Posted by momo_uk
Once he calls, his range is a lot of 99-QQ, AK. I don’t think he’s folding much to a cbet on this flop but he might. Since you block AK, he’s very PP heavy, and with this SPR, he’s very likely to just put it in.
A button open could be very light, so 3 betting AK makes sense generally. If the Uber-large 10x open suggests very premium hands, I don’t HATE a pre-flop fold here. Why play a drawing and oop?
As played, I like a jam here, as:
1. You are way behind his calling range (agreeing with 99-QQ, AK ranging), so th only way to win this is to bluff.
2. Only one combo of V’s range (QQ) is comfortable. The rest may fold to your jam.
Your jam only has to work 52% (with no equity on the AQ) to be + EV. If V calls “light” (i.e., with 99-JJ), your AK is live.