Situation:
Hero has been at the table for about 2-3 hours. Table is normally loose-passive, but there are a couple better players sitting. Hero took the seat to the immediate left of the only deep stack.
Hero started out playing nitty, but is now playing LAG and on the verge of running over the table. The table has not adjusted (yet) to Hero's aggression level, and most PFR are narrowing the field to 1 or 2 (or still getting lots of folds), and most C-bets take pots down OFT.
In this hand, there is only one Villain to be concerned with.
Hero, CO, (covers): Nitty initially, but LAG now. Opening 50% of hands from the button if table limps in, and usually taking down good flop textures w/ a cbet. Table does not seem to be adjusting yet.
Villain, Button, (175bb): Sat only about an hour ago. White guy, 30s. Seems very careful. He x/tank/called OTR with 75o (from BB) on a J75K7 when another player bet about 1/2 pot (the other player limped KK from LJ,
). Seems like Villain might be pretty good, but just either scared money or in some sort of runbad hell.
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Action Preflop: A couple limpers to Hero in the CO who has A
K
, and opens to 7bb. Villain calls, 3 other callers. We see a flop 5 ways.
Normally there would not be 4 callers, so the PFR sizing is not an issue, IMO. But I'm open to comments here.
Flop (33bb): K
J
5
Checks to Hero who thinks for about 20s and then bets 20bb. Villain fairly quickly (but not immediately) raises to 40bb. Folds to Hero who thinks for 30s and calls.
This C-bet was on the smaller size for Hero (normally pot or more with this many callers and this flop texture), but since Hero was "on the verge of running over the table" I wanted to take off the pressure here a little and see if I could suck a couple players in.
Turn (83bb): K
J
5
K
Hero was looking at Villain during the dealing of the turn, and Villain didn't seem to react. Hero looks at the cards and thinks, "awww....f...". Hero thinks for 20s and checks.
Obviously, now Hero has a monster hand, but pairing the top card, especially a K, is going to scare the hell out of everyone. I thought that this was the ultimate action killer.
Villain thinks for 10s and moves all in for 128bb.
Now WTF does Hero do?
If Hero calls, final pot will be 339bb. Hero needs 37% equity to call.
Specifically, I really
want to call here. Can someone show me a reasonable range where this is a call?