Quote:
Originally Posted by TenHighCallDown
He has more KJ and JJ while having hardly any less KK and way more of the nutted draws ...
Ooooookay, so I started to have some doubts about my approach this hand so I ran it by someone better than me. So basically we should be b/b/shoving this hand even though it's really not a vbet (our equity <50% against their continuing range) as of about the turn bet. It's essentially purely protection, both in terms of protecting our equity and protecting our bluffing range. He's almost assuredly folding KQ/QQ/KT at some point during the hand, but we need to assure that it's correct for him to fold them.
In particular, OTR we have way less than 50% equity with a shove, but it's still better to push aggression and make it incorrect to call with KQ- then to give him more avenues to getting a share of the pot. Kind of a giant theory headache.
It's not great, but checking range protection and villain's polarity advantage are just not important counter-factors given we're only $500 effective. (You're shallow enough that any made hand can be used to bluff-catch, and villain doesn't gain any advantage over you by raising because there isn't enough behind to get you to fold.)
So b/b/shove is correct even though you can expect to be smoked when you're called.