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AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] AJs OTB Line Check [1/2]

10-17-2018 , 12:14 PM
Hand from last night I just want to get everyone's thoughts on. Seems standard to me, but curious if there are dissenting opinions.

Hero ($450): 30s WG. Have been sitting for about two hours and am my usual TAG self. Generally raising when i'm entering the pot and playing hands aggressively with bets and raises post. Haven't shown down anything less than a flush so far.

V1 (covers): 20s WG. Has been sitting for about an hour or so and has gradually been loosening up as the night progresses. He's raising a lot in HJ/CO/B and also playing hands aggressively post flop. I folded air (unbeknownst to him obviously) to a big bet of his on the turn an orbit or so ago. I haven't seen him check raise or semi bluff a draw up until this point.

V2 ($50): Generic Loose Passive 20 year old kid. Plays fit or fold. Only raising AQ+ and TT+ pre so far.

OTTH
V1 open limps the HJ, V2 limps, Hero raises to $16 with AJ, blinds fold, both Vs call.

Flop ($51): K36
V1 check, V2 check, Hero bets $25, V1 raises to $60, V2 folds, Hero calls

Turn($171): K368
V1 bets $150, Hero folds

Anyone have any alternate lines here? Anyone think a check behind on the flop is the correct play? I honestly think i'm c-betting my entire range on the flop in this spot so I don't like a check.

In terms of ranging V, I think he's got sets of 3s or 6s almost exclusively. His HJ open limping range is tons of suited connectors and pocket pairs. V is likely to raise any K from K9o+ pre flop. Spades are unlikely given my holding and I don't know if he'd c/r with a bare flush draw with a shorty left to act behind him.

What say you? Did I miss a spot that would have made this easier to play or is this standard?
AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] Quote
10-17-2018 , 12:19 PM
Send standard to me, I like the Cbet. River is an easy fold.
AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] Quote
10-17-2018 , 01:42 PM
Fold turn and nh.
AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] Quote
10-17-2018 , 02:11 PM
At best, we call 150 and bink a (no 8 or 3) (16% - let's assume he has KK or 33) and get it in.

EV = 0.16 * 545 - 0.84 * 150 = -39

Add to that, that we might not gii if we hit our and the move becomes less EV+...

You would have to be 617 effective on the turn to make it slighlty better - EV0 (again you are not guarantee to stack off if you hit your )

So yeh, pretty standard fold.
AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] Quote
10-17-2018 , 02:43 PM
Folding turn is not a huge mistake if at all.

What do you mean by he plays aggressively post? He stabs vs missed Cbets or cbets/dbls/triples a good amount? If he ever has a draw here any decent amount, turn is a meh call. But as I said, folding turn can hardly ever be a big mistake.
AJs OTB Line Check [1/2] Quote

      
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