Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ
Preflop is best folded. ATs isn't strong enough to open raise 2 limpers from EP.
Even though it's suited? Isn't it safe to assume that almost always, the limpers are NOT going to have AJ+?
If we use the best case scenario for one of the remaining 6 players to have a bigger ace & give both limpers & the one who folded cards that didn't have an ace or J+, that leaves 44 cards in the deck for the last 6 players to be dealt AJ+ with.
So, you've got [6 players * 3 aces]/44 cards = 40.91% of being dealt an ace
and then if only 1 player gets an ace, he has 14/43 = 32.56% chance of being dealt JJ-AA for his 2nd card. However, that's only if none of the other 5 was dealt a JJ-AA.
.4091 * .3256 = 13.32% chance of being dealt a bigger ace or AA.
Now this is a crude estimate, but too much math doing it correctly and then there's the possibility of a player being dealt TT+
Now I'm no math whiz, but if my crude estimate is close, and you take into consideration the possibility of a player left to act having TT+, I am calling UTG+3 with ATs & hoping for a multi-way pot cheap. Always folding ATo.