Quote:
Originally Posted by Richie4444
To your point about his tendencies - I haven't seen him do anything crazy unless he's drunk, but even then I don't think he bets 500 OTR with his value hands (sets, weird Q,T or 4,5), he's more likely to bet 300-350. His sizing really made me tank for a few mins.
However, I ended up folding as I just couldn't gather enough 'proof/cause' to justify the call - overall it just didn't seem like a spewy moment to me. Also, sets would play this hand exactly like this (except sizing as I mentioned) especially against my range which looks very like KK or AA.
After tanking and having clock called I folded with a few seconds left. He showed the Ad - then after speaking to him for a few mins admitted he had AQdd but felt like I had KK and decided to try 'bet large enough' to get me to fold.
On reflection I felt like my thought process was good in this hand and long term this is a good fold?
Interesting hand. He flopped the world and was going for straight value until the river. It probably wasn't until the river that he realized that he might have the worst hand at showdown and needed to bluff in order to win.
So, how do you pick up on betting patterns where a player goes from value on the turn to bluff on the river? That is a hard one. Because usually a player shuts down in that situation and tries to get a free showdown in case they are beat. Here, he decides to go the other way and turn his hand into a bluff. But what makes the bluff so believable is that his bets on the flop and turn were not bluffs.
Not an easy one to sniff out without live tells.